Thursday, April 30, 2009

[Part I] Love and Espionage in the Time of Pandemic

Ah, spring is in the air, and so is a brand new flu virus. The type is H1N1, and nobody has ever encountered it before, any more than they had encountered the H1N1 flu that caused the so-called Spanish Influenza of 1918. It seems quite likely that this flu will be pandemic; the World Health Organization has raised their alert to level 5 out of a possible 6.

The chances are very good that this will be about as lethal as the usual flu, which annually kills some 35,000 people in the US alone. Yet there is a possibility that this could be worse than usual. H1N1 occasionally provokes a "cytokine storm", in which the healthier the immune response of the victim, the more destructive is the body's natural response to the infection.

Also in the air, lots of pollen. During the recent campaign for the Special Election of the District 4 County Council seat, I remained more than a bit "under the weather", not quite getting sick but sleeping a lot more than usual. However, with the end of the campaign for me -- I got some 104 votes -- comes also the end of my usual springtime allergy season. If I get the flu on top of this, I'll just chalk it up to misadventure, assuming I survive. Yet it's fortunate that I didn't have to shake all of those hands with an active flu season on us. The nature of politics doubtless would have to change, were there a pandemic very easily transmitted by being in the same room, much less by shaking hands. In the meanwhile, as the threat from the flu is being covered in all media, less attention is being given even in local media to a rather more serious threat, that of a local emergence of potentially epidemic measles.




Love is probably in the air as well, and no doubt a bit of espionage as well. I never could tell the difference between the two, so don't ask me to differentiate between the schoolgirls and coeds whispering and giggling, or guys slapping hands and checking out the aforementioned schoolgirls and coeds, and less harmless confidences and discussions. Yet springtime is the season when all of the cloistered -- and the clandestine -- emerge from their winter lairs and fastnesses to sprawl upon the land, as it were.




Now, the chances that any schoolgirls, coeds, or divorcees will be whispering and giggling about me in any favorable way are slight indeed; probably the most complimentary thing I might overhear would have to do with me managing to lose almost 15 pounds during the campaign, so that now my paunch is slightly less unsightly. I suppose that's positive. I suppose that if I get the swine flu and sweat off another 20 pounds, that might be positive as well, in a "all's well that ends well, no matter how horrid the interim" sort of way. Then again, I could launch myself into a health-and-exercise crusade and lose 20 pounds of flabby midriff and then gain 20 pounds back, of sightly muscle, and become one of those annoyingly buff 50-year-olds that one sees gracing advertisements for men's haircolor anti-grey potions. But first I'd have to succumb to plastering my shiny pate with minoxidil. Ah vanity. Thine appeal is less than magnetic to me, but exercise sounds like a good way to deal with encroaching arteriosclerosis. In any case, having spent the last year in recovery from a broken hand and assorted other injuries, probably I need to get myself back into shape, just on general principles. But love, no doubt, will not be coming my way. I only wish I could say the same for espionage.




I'm not a spy, I should pause to point out. My general family background includes a lot of government-worker type of stuff, and my family name is well-represented in the history of military service to the US. I've worked and played in the District and environs for so long that it's been unavoidable that while traipsing along the shores of the slippery swamp that is international business and government as present in Washington, I've occasionally slipped on the shore and gotten mud between my toes, so to speak. But generally speaking, the intelligence community is the intelligence community and I try to have as little interactions with them as possible, mostly because they make me crazy. And living as we do in an age where even the teenagers are stalking each other across FaceBook and MySpace (and Twitter and who-knows what all else) and the collegiate types are ChoicePointing their potential dates and mates, I can't imagine how much crazier it gets -- nowadays -- in the intelligence community.

I grew up in a time when nobody had cellphones, and computers were huge things that filled a room or even most of a building, and when snooping on other people was generally despised, and was purely the province of cops and criminals, or spies and their hunters. Stalking was so rare that it was not even illegal; nobody had found a need to criminalize something that happened so rarely that it was considered symptomatic of severe mental illness.

If someone was stalking you, back in the day, you knew what you were dealing with, and what you were dealing with was decidedly outside the pale. If you weren't a criminal, you knew that your stalkers were burglars or worse; if you were a criminal, you knew that your stalkers were rivals or the detectives. If you were a spy... you never ever saw your stalkers, if you were competent... or if your stalkers were competent. There would be only caution and more caution, and eventually all of the puzzle pieces would come together enough to create a picture, and sooner or later people would die or end up disappeared into prison forever and ever.

But in our modern information society, compounded by both reasonable fears as well as unsupportable paranoias on subjects ranging from open-air drug markets through pedophilia through transnational terrorism, everyone's stalking everyone else, as near as I can tell. I never could tell the difference between love and espionage, and nowadays it seems that neither can anyone else.




I hate having to deal with the intelligence community in any way, but sadly the sort of work I do tends to mostly be done within the intelligence culture. Even mid-sized corporations that need my level of expertise in server adminstration or build-out tend to have significant intelligence-culture presences, if only for due-diligence in the Human Resources department, doing background and credit checks on potential employees. And as almost any potential employer has their HR department, this means that the intelligence culture is ubiquitous throughout almost all of society. That means that everyone everywhere knows, or thinks they know, almost everything about almost anyone or everyone anywhere.

It's one thing to have almost unlimited access to the records of almost anyone, but for about a hundred dollars you can get that sort of information about almost anyone. Even the best intelligence services use this sort of Open Source and Commercial Sources information brokering as a basis for their operations.

Why keep staff on hand, or expend the resources to maintain your own information systems, when you can simply pay to be told what you want to know?

Why indeed. Well, first, there's the question of how much you can trust Open Source or Commercial Sources. In an age when Identity Theft is a real concern, it's as much of a concern that the same hackers who can get access to detailed information can as easily alter or insert comparable information. Sometimes there's a definite commercial motive, such as competition for contracts with government agencies or major corporations, in which insider information or the ability to discredit the competition can provide extreme leverage in the competition.

In politics, the ability to feed discrediting information about your opponents or their supporters -- to commonly-accessed information brokers -- can become a deciding factor in a campaign.

"Feeding the media" is a well-known and commonplace tradition. Though most people see this through the window of press-conferences or photo-opportunities, there are other modes such as general press-releases, "press kits", and even public-relations people developing cozy relationships with various reporters or editors of media believed to be influential on the outcomes of campaigns. Yet the general public may not be aware of how techniques which used to be reserved to national intelligence services are increasingly being deployed into the intergrade zones of commerce, media, and politics. Feeding the media has also grown evil roots into "feeding the choicepoint" or the highly-related technique of Google-Bombing.

Despite the occasional hilariousness of googlebombing, comparable activities in ChoicePoint-bombing are probably just as legal and just as impossible to remedy, due to the policies of both informational resources, as summarized by Google:

We don't condone the practice of googlebombing, or any other action that seeks to affect the integrity of our search results, but we're also reluctant to alter our results by hand in order to prevent such items from showing up. Pranks like this may be distracting to some, but they don't affect the overall quality of our search service, whose objectivity, as always, remains the core of our mission.


More or less, they feel that they provide such spotless service on the vast majority of their legitimate queries by their legitimate users regarding legitimate subjects, that they refuse to take any action to correct intentionally deposited misinformation.

But I digress.




The difference between "the intelligence community" and "intelligence culture" is pretty much the difference between trained professionals operating in a highly regulated and securely controlled set of systems, and a bunch of skilled hobbyists pretending to professionalism. Another analogy might be to the comparison and differences between professional NASCAR drivers on the track at a scheduled event, and skilled street racers staging an impromptu tag-team rally around the Beltway.

The intelligence community generally doesn't infiltrate the meetings of Narcotics Anonymous, with the exception of those poor DEA agents who have succumbed to one of the professional hazards of deep-cover work and have become addicts. The "intelligence culture" doesn't just infiltrate the meetings of Narcotics Anonymous, they usurp control of Alcoholics Anonymous and turn it into their own sex factory and child-abuse cult.

When Kristen was 17 and drinking out of control, her psychologist referred her to an Alcoholics Anonymous group that specialized in helping the youngest drinkers. In the Midtown Group, members and outsiders agree, young people could find new friends, constant fellowship, daily meetings, summer-long beach parties, and a charismatic leader who would steer them through sobriety.

But according to more than a dozen young people who structured their lives around the group, the unusual adaptation of AA that Michael Quinones created from his home in Bethesda became a confusing blend of comfort and crisis. They described a rigidly insular world of group homes and socializing, in which older men had sex with teenage girls, ties to family and friends were severed or strained, and the most vulnerable of alcoholics, some suffering from emotional problems, were encouraged to stop taking prescribed medications.

Kristen, now 26, said that for eight years, she was "passed along" from one middle-aged male leader of Midtown to another. She said her sponsor urged her to have sex with Quinones -- widely known as Mike Q. -- as a way to solidify her sobriety and spiritual revival. Kristen, who spoke on the condition that her last name not be used in keeping with AA traditions, also recalled helping to persuade other teenage girls to sleep with older men in the group.

[ ... ] (Seeking Recovery, Finding Confusion: AA Group Leads Members Away From Traditions, Fisher, Mark, the Washington Post page A01, July 22, 2007, downloaded 2009 April 30)


Some would suggest that this was more of a Cult than of Intelligence Culture, but the line dividing one from the other is diffuse indeed if it can be said to exist at all.




Intelligence Culture, I don't suppose I need to point out, doesn't always have the best interests of either the individuals, or of society at large, at the top of its list of priorities.




More to come?

Friday, April 24, 2009

"Maryland Politics Watch" Sacrifices Credibility for Partisanship

I'm still trying to understand why, after years of developing credibility and a widespread reputation for even-handedness and actual journalistic integrity, Adam Pagnucco of the Maryland Politics Watch blog has elected to throw it all to the winds in a frenzy of partisanism and even reposting rank partisanism.

For example, in the article "Spies React to Duchy Walkout", we see the reposting of this:

It is all about the “Malcontents” and the “Grown-ups.”

There are four members of this Council who are nothing but malcontents and political opportunists. They do nothing but play to the grandstands for their own benefit on issues that are politically safe (and play well to a very liberal Democratic primary voting universe). They don’t bother to solicit thoughts or ideas from anyone outside of the narrow little slice of constituencies they consider their base because, let’s face it, they know so much more than everyone else (just ask them). They rarely even talk with any of the other four members who are not perceived as “on their team,” and they spend way too much time talking with one another so they can wield their influence by voting as a bloc (open meeting laws notwithstanding). I wouldn’t mind this behavior as much if these four had the County’s best interests at heart, but they don’t. It’s all about them and their immediate, short-term, self-perceived, political self-interest. I don’t want to name names, but these four are Duchy Trachtenberg, Marc Elrich, Phil Andrews and Roger Berliner.

The other four members of the Council, whom I will call the “grown-ups” for this discussion (although all things are relative here), are the ones I see repeatedly coming in prepared for meetings, having done their homework, knowing what they are talking about most of the time, reaching out to various people for their opinions (whether they were with them in the last campaign or not), and doing the job they were elected to do (in some cultures, it is referred to as “leadership,” which I am told used to be practiced occasionally here as well). Unfortunately, these four (whose identities you may be able to deduce by now) had two distinct disadvantages: (1) there were only four of them, which meant they were often outvoted; and (2) they were reluctant to believe that the Council was split down the middle in this fashion, and stubbornly kept trying to work with some of the four in the other bloc, without much success. The fact that not all of the “grown-ups” get along all the time personally, and they don’t agree among themselves on everything, no doubt contributed to this as well.

The really dysfunctional thing here is how these two blocs interact with the Executive. The grown-ups are much more aligned with County Executive Leggett on all his major initiatives, but they are not his political allies. The malcontents are his allies and he repeatedly tries to rely on them to move his policies forward, despite the obvious fact (obvious to everyone except Ike I guess) that they despise virtually everything he is trying to do and have no intention of supporting any of it, ever. The fact that this obvious dynamic has not dawned on the Leggett team before now is one of life’s great mysteries.

Two things have now fundamentally changed (regardless of the final outcome in the primary, actually): (1) the “grown ups” will now have 5 votes on the Council and the “malcontents” will have 4 on most issues. (2) the “grown-ups” have put their differences behind them and are starting to realize that they can get us moving in the right direction again if they work together as a team. The question now is, will the Executive start working with them and tell the malcontents to take a hike?

What a concept! This special election is a huge step in the right direction.


This, astute observers, is rank partisanism. Note, if you will, that the "malcontents" listed are generally considered the most even-keeled and centrist of the County Council members. And note, if you will, that all of those left unnamed -- but classified as "grown-ups" are those who endorse the campaign of Nancy Navarro. Somehow, "Spy #3" appears to have followed Alice through the Looking Glass into Bizarro World by declaring all things that are, to be exactly the opposite, and evidently expecting the reader to think that this makes sense. That Adam Pagnucco seems to consider this credible enough to repost in a main article is terrifying, either because he thinks the stakes are high enough to engage in this sort of crap jounralism -- crap and utter crap even for the blogosphere, and doubly crap considering the reputation for integrity that is being squandered here -- or that he may not be squandering his reputation, but has in fact gone insane.

Possibly it's both. If I had worked so hard to develop a reputation for integrity and even-handedness and then was forced by political expediencies into posting this crap, I'd go fucking crazy myself.

Whatever the case, it's time to spread the word far and wide: There are no non-partisan informational blogs left in East Montgomery County, with the possible exception of Dan Reed's "Just Up the Pike", and even that may be reasonably suspected to have "undue influence" from both the Urban Planners academic and "hobbyist" communities, as well as from the Urban Planning/Massive Development professional and financial community. But at least Dan Reed hasn't published outright Surrealism (or is it mere Revisionism?) in his articles, as has been seen in recent days in Maryland Politics Watch.

MPW has unfortunately fallen into being "all Nancy Navarro, all of the time" except when it's pre=emptively desecrating the reputations of anyone reasonable expected to exercise sanity and get in the way of the immense and revolutionary machine of which the Navarro campaign is barely the tiniest visible tip of the iceberg, so to speak.

I myself have never made the slightest pretense of being other than partisan: look at the URL in your browser, the word "campaign" before "thomashardman.com" might be thought to be a slight clue. Yet as a rule I pretend to integrity but don't expect anyone to take me seriously; any one taking me entirely seriously probably needs medication to treat their morbid lack of any sense of humor. I like to do tongue in cheek, but I also like to be obvious when I'm doing it. I wouldn't want anyone to read something I've written and actually doubt my sanity, which evidently has been the common reaction to Maryland Politics Watch over the last week or so.

Stop the MADNESS!

Wednesday, April 22, 2009

Navarro Declares Victory?

I snagged this off of Maryland Politics Watch.

This purports to be from the Navarro campaign, but personally I suspect it's a parody in the style of North Korean propagandists:

##FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE##

Nancy Navarro Declares Victory for County Council

SILVER SPRING, MD – Tonight, Nancy Navarro declared victory in her second run for Montgomery County Council, District 4. In two consecutive special elections, Nancy Navarro has thrown her hat into the ring. In 2008, Navarro came roughly 350 votes short of victory, but only a year later pulled off a tough-fought victory by 78 votes, winning most precincts carried previously by the late Councilmember Don Praisner.

Mobilizing an aggressive get-out-the-vote operation from populations traditionally ignored by politicians, Navarro united environmentalists, women, Latinos, Asians, Africans, African Americans, youths, seniors and progressive activists. Despite the unfavorable demography of the special election population, Navarro pulled off a stunning victory in only eight weeks.

Navarro commented, “I am so proud that my broad coalition of supporters has created a powerful new electoral vehicle to stand up for seniors and working families. In these tough times, I am ready to roll up my sleeves and pick up where the Praisner family left off. I can only hope to live up to their high standards of dedication to their constituents.”

Our campaign can confirm a large number of absentee ballot requests were submitted by our supporters. Elections experts consulted by the campaign point out that often a exceedingly small percentage of requested absentee ballots are actually returned. Considering Delegate Kramer lost the vast majority of precincts on Tuesday night, and Board of Elections records show that the distribution of absentee ballot requests was far more even than Tuesday’s turnout rates, Delegate Kramer’s path to victory is insurmountably narrow.

###

Sunday, April 19, 2009

CASA de Maryland May Harm Your Computer

Anyone entering a Google search for CASA de Marylandis likely to discover that below the link to the search results, there is a link that says This site may harm your computer.

Esta todo h4x0r3e!.

It seems that during the recent heightened activity -- trying to pressure County Executive Isiah "Ike" Leggett to not alter "immigrant" policies at a meeting supposedly scheduled for April 11 -- a lot of interesting malicious software was downloaded onto users of CASA's website.

Considering the recent ramp-up of solidarity with the government of Mexico -- witness the recent meetings between US President Barack Obama and Mexican Presidente Felipe Calderon -- negotiating strategy and tactics against ultra-violent Mexican transnational drug cartels, somehow it's not surprising that specific pages on the CASA de Maryland website were targeted by elite hackers as distribution sites for a specially engineered payload.

For what it's worth, I hear there's a new cell phone texting virus out there in the wild. It seems that all someone has to do is to text to your number, and poof that phone in your pocket is no longer yours. It will spread itself to everyone on your address list, especially if you have them listed under business contacts.

Coincidence?

I don't know, but if I was the sort of person who gets all of my ideas from CASA de Maryland -- or gods forbid actually gets e-mail from their mailing lists (which are ideal delivery systems for targeted viruses) -- I'd be updating my virus definitions file right now. Careful, though, an ideal targeted virus system looking for special services hacked into the CASA de Maryland site might be expecting to get additional instructions through the virus definitions download. Maybe it's better that CASA subscribers do not update their virus definitions.

Really, it's your computer, your cellphone, your iPod. You decide.

After all, if you depend on CASA, you depend on them. If you can't communicate with them without risking thousands of dollars of equipment and every last secret you might have -- did I mention that the phone viruses always look for things like Social Security, ITIN, and bank-account numbers? -- still you need them to tell you what to do, so go ahead. Accept their e-mails, and keep checking the website!

Friday, April 17, 2009

Nancy Navarro Astrofurfing In the Public Schools?

The following article was posted to the Montgomery Blais HS website:


April 16, 2009
MCPS faces economic hardships
Board plans discussions, awaits state proposal
by Samantha Lint
Facing a grim economic outlook for its upcoming fiscal year, MCPS Board of Education (BOE) President Nancy Navarro has reached out to a coalition of local unions, calling for collaborative negotiations to form a budget solution.

Nationwide economic downturns have put the state government at an estimated $1 billion deficit for the Fiscal Year (FY) 2010, and County Executive Isiah Leggett has projected a $251 million budget gap for MCPS.

On Sept. 25, Navarro contacted the presidents of three major employee unions and requested a series of discussions to determine how to minimize the impact of cuts for the county. In her letter to the Montgomery County Education Association (MCEA), the Service Employees International Union Local 500 and Montgomery County Association of Administrative and Supervisory Personnel, Navarro stressed the importance of prompt negotiations. "We need to explore joint solutions that will enable us to keep the momentum of our academic reforms going forward in a fiscally responsible way," she said in her letter. "It is very important that we begin these discussions as soon as possible." All three unions have agreed to meet with Navarro, an MCEA bulletin said.

Navarro has spoken with the County Executive and other key officials about the economic outlook for FY 2010, according to Roland Ikheloa, chief of staff and ombudsman for the Board of Education. He said that her proposed meetings with union representatives reflect the Board’s commitment to two-way communication. "Nancy Navarro is very insistent on everyone sitting around the table and she knows the union leaders are very concerned about this. She wants to know what we can do and how we can help," Ikheloa said.

Science teacher Leslie Backus, who taught in the school system during economic hardships in the 1970s and 1980s, expressed concerns that the Navarro-initiated collaboration may lead MCEA to concede too much ground to the Board, particularly on the subject of contracted salary increases. "Lately we have been more collaborative," Backus said. "My fear is that they’re going to talk us into accepting little or no raise."

While both the county and the school district have faced economic struggles in the past, this year’s financial crisis is particularly bleak. According to Marshall Spatz, director of the MCPS Department of Budget, Management and Planning, the full impact of the financial crisis is still difficult to predict. "It is clear that this is one of the most severe situations, if not the most severe, that we have faced," he said. "We will know more by December and then still more after the Governor’s budget is released in January."

Backus described the current situation as unique to any she has experienced. "This looks potentially worse than the 1990s," she said. "I see more people worried."

She said that in past years, sizeable budget cuts have led to larger class sizes, fewer supplies and strong imprints on the quality of education for MCPS' students. "At one point they cut middle school sports, teachers got very low if any raises, supplies got reduced and class sizes got larger," she said. "It’s hard for teachers to give individual attention when they have so many students."

But the most pertinent effect that the crisis will have on education will be the loss of new, qualified and experienced teachers, according to Backus. "We’re going to lose people coming into teaching and more people will be leaving teaching," she said.

Social studies teacher Marc Grossman, member of the MCEA Board of Directors, believes that the meetings proposed by Navarro will be effective in developing solutions to anticipated problems. "The meetings are beneficial to both parties - the unions and the BOE use interest-based bargaining, which involves collaboration and avoids confrontation," Grossman said.

Backus remains skeptical about the collaboration, based on her past experiences. "I remember in the 70s we had a more collaborative approach," she said, "and it didn’t really work." She added that she foresees difficulty for all parties involved. "It can be hard on the kids, hard on the teachers, hard on everybody," she said.

If you would like to submit a letter to the editor, please send an e-mail to silver.chips.print@gmail.com. Include your name and comments concerning the story; we'd love to hear from you.





Should Nancy Navarro be getting free press on a Montgomery County Public Schools website?

Thursday, April 16, 2009

Hysteria Industry Meltdown; Commies Go Ballistic Part II

In yesterday's posting, Hysteria Industry Meltdown, Commies Go Ballistic Part I, we scraped something off of the bottom of the InterNet and put it out in the light of the day.

In a not-unrelated move, President Barack Obama's administration imposed severe sanctions on Mexican gangs and their supporters.

Many, perhaps most, Americans who have never lived close to Mexico have an entirely unrealistic view of Mexicans.

To make something extremely clear, when I write "Mexicans", I am writing of citizens and nationals of the nation of Mexico.

Mexico, as a nation, is deeply corrupt, and there is no better evidence of that than the present war for control of Northern Mexico, especially the borderlands. The upper levels of the Mexican government are generally less corrupt than the lower levels, but all too frequently, by the time you get down to the level of municipalities and counties, the corruption is legendary and of epic proportions. Though it is indeed the stuff of legends, these legends are quite real.

Fans of a certain genre of fiction may recall a segment of a famous novel by one Mario Puzo in which the Godfather advises one of his sons to go into college and study the law. "A good lawyer can steal more money than a truckload of wise guys, and he can do it legally", advises Il Padrone, and his consigliere concurs.

This may be a fictionalization, but even the famous Federal Bureau of Investigation concurs. They do have their own units specializing in Organized Crime, but until quite recently, the majority of their investigations have focused on white-collar crime.

Recently, however, a greater sense of urgency has been emerging throughout the law-enforcement community nationwide. It seems that the real organized-crime problem isn't the entrenched but really quite small remnant of "the Mob". The real problems are such groups as the Mexican Mafia, a longstanding and notorious prison-based gang, which is composed mostly of Mexican-Americans. Yet this group has longstanding and deep ties with criminal organizations which are based in, and mostly operate from, Mexico.

In recent years, many believe, the so-called Mexican Mafia, originally a US prison gang, has effectively become the "in-country muscle" for the real Mexican Mafia, which are more commonly referred to as "Mexican Drug Cartels".

And if these transnational organized crime syndicates have an "action arm", they also have a "legal department", and as with any organization of this size, scale, and scope, they also have "political action committees".

Last night's postings originated with some of those.




More to come?


Wednesday, April 15, 2009

Hysteria Industry Meltdown: Commies Go Ballistic in MoCo Part I

Snagged off of the InterNet:

URGENT Action Alert--PLEASE CALL IKE LEGGETT TODAY--PASS IT ON!
From: Grace Rivera-Oven (grace.rivera@comcast.net)
Sent: Fri 4/10/09 12:16 AM

Dear Friends,

As many of you know there is a movement similar to the one in Prince William County here in Montgomery. Some of us have being involved in various meetings with the Chief of police, the County Executive and the State Attorney. Tomorrow Mr. Leggett will make a decision on passing a policy that I personally believe will do more harm then good and will lead to profiling and to categorize the immigrant community as a criminal community. Please take a few minutes of your precious time to either call or write TODAY! opposing this policy, I personally believe we can do better to fight crime in our community but using a policy that will use the immigrant community as a scapegoat is not the solution it is unjust, and when injustice is apply to some we all suffer the consequences. God bless and hope you are doing well...Gracie
BELOW IS THE INFORMATION WHERE TO CALL AND SEND YOU EMAILS.....


----- Original Message -----
Subject: URGENT Action Alert--PLEASE CALL IKE LEGGETT TODAY--PASS IT ON!

Dear Amigos and Friends of our Immigrant Communities,

We have an EMERGENCY here in Montgomery County. Please read the ALERT below and then pick up your phone and/or write/email your OPINION directly to County Executive Ike Leggett BEFORE he makes a final decision on Tuesday, Feb 3rd!

Montgomery County Executive Ike Leggett is being pressured to grant Mo. Co. police new powers to detain arrested foreign-born persons indefinitely, while authorizing calls to federal immigration enforcement (ICE) for possible deportation action. This proposal has raised serious human rights as well as a civil liberty concerns which remain unanswered. This undefined, unwritten, and ill-conceived law enforcement policy change with zero training, zero oversight, and zero accountability has discrimination and racial profiling written all over it. If this practice is adopted, the legal and civil rights ramifications are going to be complex and hurtful.

Please express your strong OPPOSITION to this highly flawed proposal. Your help with calls, emails, and letters is urgently needed!

Thank you for your support---MIL GRACIAS!!
-Ana Sol GutiƩrrez
301-237-4211


ALERT!




Montomgery County could take a major step down a slippery slope to creating a discriminatory and hostile enviroment for all immigrants. County Executive Isiah Leggett has indicated that as soon as next week he may announce changes to Montgomery County’s long standing policy against local police enforcing federal immigration laws. For years, the County’s policies have considered this the job of the U.S.federal government. Though no written proposals have been presented for review and consideration by the County Council, the MD Judiciary, legal and immigration law experts, public safety officials, community advocates, and the general public, Mr. Leggett is considering granting new unrestricted powers to Mo. Co. police to notify U.S. Immigrations and Customs Enforcement (ICE) when individuals who are foreign born are arrested (not yet convicted) as suspects of committing both misdemeanors and felonies.


Please CALL or EMAIL Mr. Leggett to let him know you oppose this highly flawed change in policy that targets all foreign-born residents in our County. Montgomery County is not Prince William County and we do not want the County police to take any steps towards enforcing federal immigration laws, while further alienating the immigrant communities and destroying the public’s trust in law enforcement.


You can call Mr. Leggett at: (240) 777-2500.
Or e-mail his office at: ocemail@montgomerycountymd.gov or ike.leggett@montgomerycountymd.gov

Please cc or bcc Justiceinmontgomerycounty@gmail.com

Suggested Talking Points:

--I oppose changing current County law enforcement policies to authorize police detentions based on an individual’s place of birth

--I oppose Mo. CO. police collaboration with ICE in enforcing federal immigration laws.

--I support Montgomery County’s long standing tradition which values the contributions of our productive, diverse, and hard working immigrant communities.

--I support policies that strengthen the public’s trust and protect individual civil liberties and human rights. I do not want Montgomery County to become the next Prince William County.


Below is a brief draft LETTER you can cut and paste or modify to communicate your personal opposition to this proposal.




Dear County Executive Leggett:

I am a concerned Montgomery County resident and voter. Although there is no question that I believe that hardened criminals, especially those who engage in violent behavior, should be tried and incarcerated when found guilty, I believe that using place of birth and/or immigration status as a means to combat violent crime in Montgomery County is wrong for a number of reasons:

- Experiences in this County (or in the country) DO NOT support the existence of a connection between violent crimes and immigration status. On the contrary, a number of reputable studies show that immigrants, both documented and undocumented, commit fewer crimes than U.S-born residents.

- Recently in Montgomery County, the alleged need for targeting undocumented immigrants has been goaded by extremist, anti-immigrant groups, such as Help Save Maryland. Other jurisdictions such as Frederick County and Prince William County, Va, have adopted anti-immigrant measures that have achieved little more than vilifying members of those communities. Recently committed murders in Montgomery County are being used by such such groups to demand similar measures in Montgomery County and to seek to validate their unfounded claim that “immigrants are violent criminals”.

- Changing Montgomery County law enforcement policies regarding detention of foreign-born suspects and notification of Immigrations and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officials will affect public safety and undermine the immigrant community's trust of the police. Many crimes, including recent murders, were solved through cooperation from the immigrant community, including undocumented immigrants.

- Law enforcement officials, the State’s attorney, and the MD Judicial system have many effective legal tools at their disposal for dealing with violent criminals to ensure they are detained and not freed to commit other crimes.

In short, I oppose any change to Montgomery County’s long standing policies regarding its treatment of foreign born residents. Montgomery County should not become the new Prince William County in Virginia. This change in police enforcement policies is a step in the wrong direction, and I strongly oppose it.

Sincerely,

(Please put your name and city or area where you live in the County.)

Concerned Montgomery County voter

Please send a copy to:
Justiceinmontgomerycounty@gmail.com
and to
County Council President Phil Andrews at councilmember.andrews@montgomerycountymd.gov

[Part One] Long-Haul Commuting Drives East Montgomery Congestion?

This posting derives at least in part from a comment made to the Maryland Politics Watch "Sierra Club Endorses Navarro" article.

Sierra Club of Montgomery County had individual interviews with at least most of the candidates in the Special Election for the District 4 Council seat.

I thought I had covered most of the issues rather well, as I am after all a person long involved in issues around the ecology and environment, but some of the people interviewing me were flatly flabbergasted when I pointed out a couple of facts to them.

Sierra Club's thinking is that the majority of traffic congestion in Montgomery County in general -- and in the East County in particular -- is based on shot-haul commuting, or at most it's based on commuting mostly within the County. Thus, in their minds, short-haul mass-transit, or long-haul but strictly intra-county mass-transit would significantly reduce both dependence on the automobile -- and thus traffic congestion -- as well as environmental impacts.

This isn't strictly true. I pointed out to them some significant facts that made the logic of this assumption fall down, this shook them almost to the point of enraging them.

The County's commuting problem is driven by the fact that there are many more jobs in Montgomery than there is housing.

More than half of the police force and about the same percentage of the teachers live outside of Montgomery because of two factors:

1. There is almost no affordable housing available in Montgomery that is suitable for a public servant to raise their families.

2. Although we pay premium salaries to our civil servants -- under the theory that if they can afford to live here, they will -- the premium salary differential increases the profitability of commuting very long distances because that costs far less in time and money than can be banked in the differential between housing costs in Montgomery and housing costs out-of-county.

Have you fallen out of your chair yet? Are you quivering in disbelief?

Sorry about your Sacred Cow there, fellahs.

We might pay a police captain enough to buy a $750,000 dollar home in Montgomery, but if they can buy the same home in Frederick County for $250,000 merely by adding 1.5 hours daily commute and bank the $500,000 difference, That's 7500 hours of commuting over 20 years of commuting 1.5 hours 5 days a week. Divide the $500K differential in housing costs over 20 years of commuting to pay off the mortgage, and that 1.5 hour commute pays $66.66/hour of driving... well worth it. Indeed, it would be foolish to not do so.

Note that this isn't money that the County is paying as part of their salary arrangements.

This is money that more or less falls out of the math of the situation.




Of course, we needn't pause to point out that this has several obvious effects. However, I like to belabor the obvious so you'll just have to bear with me.

1. County employees who live outside of the county pay their county income taxes where they live, not where they work.

2. County employees who live outside of the county will very likely do most of their shopping and spending, as will their family, where Montgomery County cannot tax the sales, spending, nor the commercial properties where these people shop.

3. County employees who live outside of the county cannot vote in Montgomery County and cannot be expected to vote to support political programs or decisions. (They also can't vote to replace bad policymakers.) One major downside of this may be that, deprived of direct electoral powers, the relative power of representation by Union becomes more essential to the non-resident County employee, and Unions tend to try to negotiate the deals that award the most taxpayer-funded pay and benefits to County employees, regardless of where they live.

4. The "sixty-six dollars an hour commuter benefit" (see above) is a function of the mathematics of disparity between the costs of housing in different markets and jurisdictions. With a 1.5 hour commute each way, at $66.66/hour, this function of the math of the situation effectively puts $200.00 per commuting day into the pockets of this employee. As a function of the mathematics, rather than as a direct payment or negotiated benefit, this cannot be taxed, it cannot be withheld, it cannot be seized, and it can't go anyplace other than into the pocket of the long-haul commuter. It's pure profit. A person would have to be extremely intolerant of spending time commuting, or an ideologue or an idiot, to fail to take advantage.

There is also the simple fact that if you can find a house for $250,000 within a 1.5-hour commute of your job working for Montgomery County, you have probably found a house in a very uncrowded market, with very little ecological or environmental damage, in a jurisdiction with schools for the kids which are almost as good as Montgomery's excellent schools, and it is almost completely certain that you don't have Montgomery's congestion or crime-rate.

For every County employee who takes advantage of this, it is 100-percent Epic WIN and ??? PROFIT.

For almost every County employee who does not take advantage of this, it is 100-percent Epic FAIL and would make about as much sense as wearing a Guy Fawkes mask and repeatedly stabbing yourself in the foot.




I first got wind of this a year ago, when I was running for that Special Election and suggested that one way to deal with Foreclosures would be to have the County guarantee on-time payments if the banks would transfer the mortgages to County employees such as police officers and fire-rescue/EMT workers, so long as they moved in-County to occupy these foreclosed properties. County employees could "live where they work" and everyone would benefit.

I thought this would get me votes. Actually, it got me sneers. I wondered why.

Finally some kind souls stopped sneering at me long enough to try to sell me the story that it was because the officers/firefighters (etc.) preferred to raise their kids out in the country, etc etc.

Even this seemed entirely reasonable and a perfectly good reason for about half of all of the County's police and teaching employees to live outside of the County.

Then I did the math, and understood the sneers.

I was asking these fine people to give up the 'sixty-six dollar an hour commuter benefit", as well as abandon their inexpensive semi-rural or rural safe and unpolluted communities, and move into foreclosure-riddled places like West Wheaton.

I'd sneer, too.

Saturday, April 11, 2009

Zero-Based Budgeting: Agonizing but Essential

From "Where Has All the Vision Gone in Maryland?" by former County Executive Doug Duncan (Washington Post, Letters to Editor, on or about Feb 12 2009)(bolded emphasis mine):

Trust and confidence in government need to be restored, and it has to start with an honest accounting about the challenges we face along with a vision of where we want to go. It’s time to be truthful to the public and acknowledge that government’s capabilities must be reshaped for some time to come. Can state and local elected officials get back to basics by adopting zero-based budgeting and conducting a healthy review of government’s core missions and competencies? Can they decide a program is no longer affordable and then cut it entirely out of the budget? Can they get ahead of the revenue forecasts and stop changing budgets every few months? Can they redesign services to face a new economic reality? For their reelection’s sake, they better hope they can, because if they can’t, the voters will replace them with others who will.


Well, what is Zero Based Budgeting?
Zero-based budgeting is a technique of planning and decision-making which reverses the working process of traditional budgeting. In traditional incremental budgeting, departmental managers justify only increases over the previous year budget and what has been already spent is automatically sanctioned. No reference is made to the previous level of expenditure. By contrast, in zero-based budgeting, every department function is reviewed comprehensively and all expenditures must be approved, rather than only increases.[1] Zero-based budgeting requires the budget request be justified in complete detail by each division manager starting from the zero-base. The zero-base is indifferent to whether the total budget is increasing or decreasing (Wikipedia).

Pure zero-based budgeting probably can't be applied here in Montgomery, in part due to the fact that a bit over half of the budget comes out of the School Board.

The Wikipedia article points out the advantages and disadvantages of Zero-Based Budgeting ("ZBB") as well as advantages and disadvantages of Incremental Budgeting ("IB").

As I see it, the biggest problem with ZBB is that even the most compressed summary that still contains all essential detail will be too large for any one person to read, much less to understand. As I see it, the greatest benefits are that it promotes efficient allocation of resources and also it reduces duplication and overlap. Yet both advantages and disadvantages of this include significant administrative overhead and the generation of reports that add to that administrative overhead.

Perhaps the biggest advantage of Incremental Budgeting ("IB") is that in steady times, incremental budgeting requires almost no additional administrative overhead. Perhaps the greatest single disadvantage is that of creating an incentive to "use it or lose it", to spend up all available funds to justify receiving comparable funding in the next budget.




It's really clear that we need to move to a combination model. I'll call this "Half-Based Budgeting". Some may be tempted to call it "Half Baked Budgeting" and that might even be appropriate.

I'd propose something like sending word to every program and agency manager that they will be working with exactly half of the previous year's budget. That should wake them up! And then tell them that once they have worked out a budget for their agency or program core, that for the rest of their budget exercise, they will use Zero-Based Budgeting.

Reasonable people might argue that if these managers know that this will be the approach, they'll just spread the rest of their previous year's budget plus this year's incremental increases across the Core Needs budget and the Zero Based Optional Needs budget. And that's probably correct. However, the valuable task will have been accomplished. There will be a separate budget for Core Needs and Optional Needs.

This is where reasonable people would suggest that some managers might tend to expect this, and thus would shift Optional Needs items into the Core Needs budgets. That's probably a reasonable suspicion. This is where a lot of oversight will be needed.




You could think of this as being not too different from planning a trip to the beach.

There is an element of planning that covers getting to the beach and getting back. Let's say that it takes half a tank of gas to get to Ocean City, and half a tank of gas to get back. Assuming that the vehicle is roadworthy, the price of a full tank of gas is your Base Budget.

Of course, the question remains, having accomplished the core mission of going to the beach and coming back, what do you do at the beach, and on the way to and from the beach? That is your Optional Needs Budget.

Keep in mind that you could spend an awful lot of money at the beach, if you've got the money to spend. If you planned and budgeted well, you could spend an awful lot of money at the beach, and accomplish all that you intended.

Then again, if all you wanted to do was to go to the beach, and enjoy everything that's available for free, you could do that on the Base Budget.

Sometimes, you can only afford to go to the beach and enjoy everything that's free. There are a lot of temptations there to spend your return trip money, so be sure to spend all of your money filling up the tank before you go.

And if you've spent all of your money filling up the tank before you go, you had better exercise a lot of oversight against anyone siphoning your tank.




These are the circumstances a lot of agencies are in, here in Montgomery. Their previous budgets are being, as it were, siphoned. They may not make it home from the beach, so to speak.

A "half-based budget" approach could function, as it were, like the kindly relative you call from the beach, who can let you use their credit-card number to fill up your car's fuel tank so you can get home. The main budget authority would provide each agency or program with their "guaranteed Core Needs minimum budget" and as revenue and treasury circumstances permit, Optional Needs lump sums could be released.

Reasonable people might suggest that this might, as it were, tempt the kids to drive around too much at the beach, and burn up all of their trip-home gas, because they know that auntie will let them use the credit card numbers. This is where you have to have oversight. There may well be unforseen emergencies that would eat into the Core Needs budget of any given agency. For example, dry weather might lead to a major conflagration in the Urban Forest of Montgomery County, and the Core Needs budget of the fire department might be used up practically overnight. Well, that's why the County should be very austere in terms of authorizing Optional Needs funding. It's good to have something in reserve.

The "Rainy Day" funding system needs to have a Core Needs budget of its own, and not be thought of as the auntie you can call when you run out of gas in Ocean City (so to speak). You can't always rely on auntie to get you home from the beach, she's not all too wealthy herself.




"Half based budgeting" is a compromise between the administration-heavy yet otherwise effective Zero Based Budgeting and the traditional Incremental Budgeting. Indeed, the present implementation of Incremental Budgeting is not far from what I propose, but rather than a formalized approach, they're just starting with last-year's budget and picking likely targets for cuts and asking those targets to justify their continued existence.

That will be effective, but in many ways it's suddenly imposing the administrative overheads of Zero Based budgeting onto management layers that simply aren't prepared to deal with it, either in terms of training/experience, or in terms of being able to shift the resources needed to fund the new administrative overhead. This puts people in the position of having to have more money now, so that they can justify getting any money later. Even in the best of situations, this is inherently unfair to impose without warning; in this less than best of situations, it's almost like being dragged into court without being given any opportunity to develop evidence to support your defense.

The problem here is that this is fiscally unavoidable in the present circumstances... except for the fact that there are Federal stimulus dollars coming into the system. One thing about those funds... they must be seen as only providing a little bit of breathing-room, as it were. This gives time to choose between a direct and straightforward textbook model of Zero Based Budgeting, or my proposed "Half Based Budgeting", or more likely, something somewhere in between either or both of those, and a vastly-downscaled Incremental Budgeting system that one might be tempted to call "decremental budgeting".

Friday, April 10, 2009

Doug Duncan Does "Dad's"?

I'm not sure whether or not I have "scooped" Maryland Politics Watch. But several reports declare that former County Executive Doug Duncan was at Dad's Neighborhood Pub in the Rock Creek Village Shopping Center in Aspen Hill.

I do in fact wish I could have been a fly on the wall then and there. Heck, I would have been glad to shake his hand, though I have some bitter differences with him over his policies which attracted far more high-paying jobs to Montgomery than could be housed here in existing stock, which led to massive competition for housing, which was an initiating pump to the Housing Bubble, and we all know where that has led.

But sadly, I was at home catching the season finale of "Terminator: the Sarah Connor Chronicles" and "Dollhouse", which far surpasses "24" for epic weirdness. Then I came back out and heard all about it. Doug Duncan! In a local bar with bands! That in itself is Epic. Catch me some other time, Mr Duncan. Hope it was fun for you! -and sorry I missed out.

Omens and Observations

First, we just had the first full moon after the Vernal Equinox, which is of hoary tradition considered the day of final planting of non-hardy crops. The following Sunday is, by ancient German traditions, the festival of Ostara (or, "Ēostre").

Ostara, or Lady Easter, may be represented as "...just under 30, just a smidgen plump, clearly a fertile fertility goddess, and dressed to the nines in green, with a truly amazing hat dripping with flowers and herbs". And of course, wherever she walks, new growth erupts around her, and after winter's long sleep, life again awakens to her touch.

In what must be seen as a very favorable Omen, a swarm of bees took up residence at the White House. Why would this be thought to be a good omen? Honeybee Decline is an immense problem here in the US and in other parts of the world. As most of our food crops need to be fertilized by honeybees in order to bear fruits, seeing a honeybee anywhere is practically a blessed event. As bad as our economy has become, it would be far worse if we had no bees. That bees are on the comeback trail, enough so to be swarming wild, is a very good thing indeed. Surely it's a coincidence that they took up residence at the abode of the man who we expect to lead our economy onto its own comeback trail.

Thursday, April 9, 2009

[Part I] Pagan Tree Hugging?

I've been avoiding this topic for far too long. But my horoscope says that this is a day for forging ahead with difficult tasks, and by choosing to take on what I'd rather put off or avoid, good and long-lasting results are almost inevitable. Do I believe my horoscope? I don't buy the idea that the stars control my destiny, but avoiding procrastination and being "open" seems to me like a good idea.

I was raised more or less as a Christian and I have often read in, and quoted from, Scripture. When I read the words of the Gospel, I believe I am reading wisdom. Yet since childhood I felt that there was more to worship than I was taught in church or could find in the Bible. Science, for example, demonstrably contradicts much that is in Scripture, but there is even more in Scripture which isn't something that can be addressed by scientific method. There is the humanism, the sense of wonder and mystery, and above all of history. While the history may be amenable to scientific method via archeology, and by reference to other sources, much of the rest of Scripture falls into the realm of philosophy. Yet through all of it is the testimony to the experience of divinity. It is full of the testimony of people relating their experiences of something far greater than themselves.

I've read pretty widely in the texts of other religions, but I can't say that I adhere to any of those faiths. Yet in all of those texts there is wisdom to be found.

I do believe that any person can learn to experience for themselves a Power that is both within and without, in all places at all times. An institution of faith or an establishment of religion may serve to aid or guide the person, but I don't think that this is required; a person can grow their own perceptions and concepts. Some would say that this isn't too different from the concepts of the Society of Friends (Quakers), and I'd agree with that.

For some people, it helps them to contemplate something outside of themselves. For some, they might contemplate a cross, or a Bible, or prayer beads, a mandala, or some such thing. For some, it helps to dress for the occasion. For some, it helps to be in a certain place, or a certain type of place, such as a synagogue, a church, or a mosque.

For me, the place that I find that place where the mystery is most evident to me, is in the natural world, such as remains of it.

Nature may be "red in tooth and claw", but have not we humans to a great degree separated ourselves from those dangers? Do we not have fire, and do we not use fire as our first tool with which we make most other tools? Have we not built walls between ourselves and nature? Have we not built so many walls that quite often we have paved over Nature, excluded it as much as possible from our lives? Yet do we not remain living creatures, whose lives depend on things which ultimately originate in no place other than Nature?

And where can we seek back to that original relationship? Some people find it under a roof, within four walls made of things shaped by the hands of man. Here's the feeling I'm trying to convey. This is where I find my Higher Power:
I think that I shall never see
A poem lovely as a tree.
A tree whose hungry mouth is prest
Against the earth's sweet flowing breast;
A tree that looks at God all day,
And lifts her leafy arms to pray;
A tree that may in Summer wear
A nest of robins in her hair;
Upon whose bosom snow has lain;
Who intimately lives with rain.
Poems are made by fools like me,
But only God can make a tree.

(That was from Joyce Kilmer (1886-1918)

Science tells us that evolution made trees, and I happen to agree. But who made evolution?

Evolution, some will say, is not a creation but a process of nature. But who made process?

Process just exists, some will say, it's the inevitable result of the existence of time. But who made time?

Nobody made time, some will say, it just happens. But did it always happen?

The details are a bit sketchy and assuredly the debates still rage, but science declares that there's a pretty good estimate for the time of the origin of the universe... a very long time ago.

And while time just happens, and while process is an inevitable result, and evolution may be inevitably a result of the existence of time and process, that tree was not inevitable. Yet it is inevitable that if you cut down that tree, that particular instance of that particular tree will never again be.

Nor will birds again nest in it, nor rain fall upon it, nor leaves unfurl after the long dark days of winter, nor flowers bloom on it.

This makes me unutterably sad.

Time passes, and children grow up, lovers meet, elders pass on, grandchildren become elders, and that's the circle of life. In the circle of life of a tree, it might be there through several cycles of the circle of life of human beings, as it were, an old friend of the family, and an old friend of all of the other living things that call it home, call it shade, call it a source of oxygen and a carbon-sink helping to maintain the ecology in which everything has co-evolved. Remove the tree, and perhaps other trees will fill in for the missing tree. Remove enough trees, and those things that require the tree will go elsewhere in hopes of finding the tree they need, or perhaps they'll just remain and perhaps die. Remove more than enough trees, and the things that need trees will never find what they require to live.

That would make me more than unutterably sad.

God, or evolution, or even a god that created evolution, or simple chance, or Divine Providence, have made the tree serve a purpose, even if all that the tree "desires" is to procreate more trees. Yet without anthropomorphizing overmuch, we could say that the tree has a purpose.




For me, the purpose a tree has also includes being a sort of a mandala, an object of concentration as I try to join with my spiritual higher power. It represents, to me, one of the finest works of Creation, or end results of billions of years of Evolution, or possibly both. It gives me a lot to think about, and when I don't want to think, but would rather feel, it feels a lot like a symbol of home, of life, of the circle of life, of permanence and impermanence. It symbolizes the interconnectedness of ecology, it symbolizes the interdependence of things, it's a symbol of life itself, of how the world was before the hands of man used fire as the first tool, and baked clay to smelt iron to make tools to cut stone to build walls, to build storehouses, to build cities and roads and build civilizations that reshape the very earth in increasingly dangerous ways... and still hasn't learned to say "enough is enough".

Trees, to me, symbolize earth-friendly living, and are a sign that someone, somewhere, is doing something right.




Contrast and compare -- if you would -- the difference between healthy trees in a healthy glade with a healthy native-ecology meadow, with the surrounding cityscape.

Of course, I'm referring to the "Rachel Carson Meadow" just off of University Boulevard in the Four Corners neighborhood of District 4. University Boulevard, with its traffic jams and aging housing stock, represents the world of man, the urge to pave, and to drive as fast as the law allows and traffic will permit on that pavement.

The smoking buses lumber past the little glade and meadow, lovingly maintained and kept free of invasive organisms through the volunteerism of many of the locals. The buses symbolize the Noise of a Great Machine, all turning gears and clanking parts, typical of the so-called "pinnacle" of human creation. The meadow and glade symbolize another creation, and another creator (God or Evolution, take your pick) which created the mankind that is symbolized by the buses. The meadow and the glade are quiet, mostly, and mostly they don't fume or clank.

The glade is a remnant, a refuge, a place to remind us that the turning gears and clanking and smoke are not natural things in a natural state, though we as humans become accustomed to our surroundings and all-too-often don't pause to reflect, to ask ourselves if we're doing the right thing.

The glade, the meadow, to people like me, is a place where we visit as others would visit a church.

Contrast and compare with the plans to raze all of this to the ground, to replace it with a soccer field.

To people like me, this has all of the offensiveness of someone making plans to bulldoze a temple and replace it with a casino.

Wednesday, April 8, 2009

Mortgage Fraud Gangs Rampant Nationally. In MoCo Too?

Here is some excellent analysis of FBI opinion on Organized Mortgage Fraud including extensive quoting of very recent testimony by FBI Deputy Director John S. Pistole.

Mr Pistole quotes his own prescient testimony, from 2004, before the House Financial Services Sub-Committee:
If fraudulent practices become systemic within the mortgage industry and mortgage fraud is allowed to become unrestrained, it will ultimately place financial institutions at risk and have adverse effects on the stock market. Investors may lose faith and require higher returns from mortgage backed securities. This may result in higher interest rates and fees paid by borrowers and limit the amount of investment funds available for mortgage loans.

Well, things turned out rather worse than that, I must remind any readers who have forgotten the trillions of dollars of financial damage to the global economy, much of which originated due to people playing fast-and-loose with the mortgage system, loan-origination systems, and "commoditized debt obligations" ("CDO").

The media have tended to represent this as a simple lack of sufficient regulation leading inevitably to stupid people doing stupid things. But as recent FBI activity shows -- and Mr Pistole's testimony details -- this was not stupid people doing stupid things. This was well-orchestrated and intentional identification and exploitation of weaknesses in the system:
What has occurred has been far worse than predicted. Mortgage fraud and related financial industry corporate fraud have shaken the world’s confidence in the U.S. financial system. The fraud schemes have adapted with the changing economy and now individuals are preyed upon even as they are about to lose their homes.

[ ... ]

Property flipping is nothing new; however, once again law enforcement is faced with an educated criminal element that is using identity theft, straw borrowers and shell companies, along with industry insiders to conceal their methods and override lender controls.

Identity theft in its many forms is a growing problem and is manifested in many ways, including mortgage documents. The mortgage industry has indicated that personal, corporate, and professional identity theft in the mortgage industry is on the rise. Computer technology advances and the use of online sources have also assisted the criminal in committing mortgage fraud. However, the FBI is working with its law enforcement and industry partners to identify trends and develop techniques to thwart illegal activities in this arena.

Foreclosure rescue scams are particularly egregious in that fraudsters take advantage and illegally profit from other individuals’ misfortunes. As foreclosures continue to rise across the country, so too have the number of foreclosure rescue scams that target unsuspecting victims. These scams include victims losing their home equity or paying thousands of dollars in fees, and then receiving little or no services, and ultimately losing their home to foreclosure. The FBI is again working with our law enforcement and regulatory partners along with industry partners to target, disrupt and dismantle the individuals and/or companies engaging in these fraud schemes.


Pistole goes on at great length to detail FBI approaches to dealing with some of these schemes and organizations.

And last night, ABC and other network news organizations reported a significant bust of a very organized mortgage fraud gang.




Last month, we reported on a Shadowy Consultations Over REAL ID in Annapolis.

Subsequently, there have been extreme fast-track moves -- long overdue in our opinion -- to bring the Maryland Driver's License and State non-driver Identification cards into compliance with the national standards set forth in the REAL ID Act of 2005 which has been active law for three years.

Maryland is one of only four states in the nation -- and the only one east of the Rockies -- which grants driving licenses or ID to persons who cannot demonstrate legal presence in the USA. A recent Washington Post article details how Maryland has become the most exploited driving/ID document east of the Mississippi. For example, at least 40 illegal aliens cite a Parcel Plus mailbox store -- at 5284 Randolph Road in Rockville -- as their home address (Easy-to-Get Licenses Expose Md. to Fraud: Out-of-State Illegal Immigrants Exploit Rules, Aizenman, NC and Rein, Lisa, Washington Post page A01, March 28 2009, downloaded 2009 April 8).

Generally unreported in the local media, but very well known to law-enforcement agencies across the US and in the war-zones of Mexico's drug cartel wars, the Maryland DL/ID has been showing up as an element in an increasing number of cases, especially cases of document fraud and identity theft. Maryland's excessive liberality and lax documentary requirements have turned the State DL/ID into the best remaining bet for criminals -- especially illegal alien criminals from at least 50 nations -- seeking a plausible document to use as a basis for extensive frauds, as well as a permit to drive on the roads of the USA.

So widespread has this problem become that widespread unofficial -- and in some cases, official -- reluctance to accept a Maryland DL/ID at face value is seen at banks, loan agencies, rental offices, and airline ticket sales offices in places as far afield as Colorado and Missouri. Simply stated, the word has gone out that you simply cannot place any faith in the Maryland DL/ID, other than that it shows that the person described has in fact passed a test of their driving skills.




We have reported extensively here at this site that much of the housing-bubble began here in Montgomery County, in part due to the actions of the Doug Duncan administration's luring to Montgomery of far more jobs than there was extant housing. An extremely active real-estate market existed here, and there have definitely been insufficient controls and oversight in the arenas of mortgage and loan-origination. Yet the County beamed as the market overheated past red-hot, mostly because of the largess politicians could distribute from the ballooning budget which was fed mostly by property taxes in the residential markets. Yet as overinflated was the local real-estate market, the implosion was as immense. Foreclosures in Montgomery ballooned as well, and the damage to the neighborhoods is profound.




Now, let's put all of this together.

Maryland's exceptionally lax -- perhaps better categorized as "grossly permissive" -- documentary basis policies will almost certainly be shown as a fundamental weakness exploited aggressively by criminals as a "basis of trust" in fraudulent activities. Indeed, we believe that exactly this problem was pointed out to Maryland Judiciary Committee members in late March by "unnamed federal officials". We believe that this soon will become widespread knowledge in the national media and finally in local media.

We believe that this laxness will be publicly shown -- through widespread criminal indictments reaching from the depths of the illegal-alien gangster community to near the highest levels of County and State officialdom -- to have enabled, fostered, and perpetuated a vast and long-lasting set of interlocking scams that grossly inflated home values and ensured the eventual collapse of the housing markets here and elsewhere, precipitating a global economic meltdown that will dog the heels of all mankind for probably the better part of a decade.

We believe that mass arrests are imminent.

And we believe that in places like Aspen Hill, North Glenmont, and parts of Germantown and Gaithersburg, the truth will finally come out about how penniless refugees from the poorest parts of the world were able to "afford" houses costing nearly half a million dollars and could even "afford" to double their size, evidently with "diverted" materiel. (See the photos in this article!)

While scammers are working the system with the knowing and willful assistance of regulatory and industry insiders and investing all of their ill-gotten gains in their own real property, their scamming has littered Montgomery County with a thousand or so foreclosures. There are literally dozens in Aspen Hill, in North Glenmont, and Germantown and Gaithersburg, and at the frequency and distribution, they are everywhere in those neighborhoods, contributing significantly to the already devastating decline in home values.

We demand action, we demand deep criminal investigation. We demand the FBI.

Tuesday, April 7, 2009

What We Have Here Is A Failure To Communicate?

Dan Reed of Just Up the Pike does one of his famous candidate interviews of myself, and generally does a credible job. However, it's possible that the long lag-time between the interview and the posting -- as well as a lot of intervening cramming for exams in the closing weeks of his senior year at University of Maryland -- may have caused his tone to drift a bit. Or perhaps I wasn't making myself clear.

I do in fact think that a lot of money could be saved by the County government by replacing Microsoft Windows(tm) on the majority of worker desktops. I think that's something that could go across the whole county, not just the public schools. Still, savings is savings, and the more, the merrier. For those who think that UNIX-like operating systems aren't ready for prime time, nor easy to use, take a good look at Mac OS X, which is a UNIX-like operating system. Under the famous "intuitive and easy to use" graphic user interface, the guts are based in BSD. Anyone who can use the command-line on a Mac can use the command-line on a Linux box, and anyone who can use the Mac OS X graphic user interface can use the KDE interface on a Linux box.

However, what Dan wrote about what I think, and what I wanted him to understand about what I think, that's where we encounter divergence.

I don't specifically point to Clarksburg or the Villages of Urbana as particular examples of how to move forward with development in Montgomery County. Frankly, I think that there's a population growth problem in Montgomery, in Maryland, in the USA, and around the world. It's time to deal with the real cause of global warming, which is to say the fact that there are far more human beings on this planet than can be sustainably supported by the planet's natural systems, and there are even more human beings on the planet than can be sustainably supported even by man-made unnatural systems.

Yet it's true: rather than see any more of our natural (or nearly-natural) world gobbled up by Suburban Sprawl served by traffic-clogged roads in an automobile-dependent culture, I would prefer -- and that is "I would prefer", not "I want" -- that any new housing be built close to or on top of transit hubs. New developments should be close in to employment hubs and zones, and new developments should be oriented around easy access to public transportation systems that can efficiently move large numbers of people with minimized fuel costs and associated greenhouse-gas emissions. We should place housing near shopping, or even intermix the two. We should not have to hop into the car and drive five miles to get a snack or soda or groceries.

Dan suggests that I'd think that Clarksburg or the Villages of Urbana are good ideas. Actually, I would think that, if they weren't both located at the outer edges of rapidly expanding Sprawl. Rather than saying "if we're going to have Sprawl, let's do it in this model", I'm suggesting that we might want to recycle -- in whole or in part -- aging core suburbs and even some of the older parts of the Sprawl. And when we recycle that, let's recycle it in the model of Clarksburg, just without the code and design violations. And let's do it where there is already adequate infrastructure. Let's do that sort of thing in Wheaton or Glenmont or Shady Grove, where there is MetroRail right there. Let's not do it at the end of long roads that perpetuate excessive time commuting and traffic congestion.

Now about my lengthy dissertations in long-lasting discussions, as a rule I try to avoid actual rants, assuming that by "rant" one means a diatribe that makes little sense. I have a long history discussing Urban Planning and related issues of city governance. Twelve years ago I was documenting the collapse and Revitalization of the District of Columbia. You may read in that proto-blog a great deal of outrage but you'll also read a lot of good sense on how to remove the leadership of a broken government and how to use oversight authorities to steer an ungodly mess back to a path on a road to recovery. Compare the District of 1996 with the District of 2009. See the wealth that's there nowadays. And remember back to how it was in 1996... with overdrawn budgets, outrageous spending on poorly managed programs. And you'll notice how many of my suggestions were adopted, whether it's my thinking that gets credit, or someone else's thinking the same thoughts that gets credit.

I'll discuss anything with anyone at any length, to see where they have errors in data or in logic, and if they don't have such errors I may think of them as my teacher, and I study hard. But when I find bad data, false premises, or errors in logic, I'll spend whatever time is necessary to try to correct those errors. Most people eventually learn, and change their ways. Those who don't tend to wind up looking like Marion Barry: discredited. Because, frankly, if you persist to your old thinking when all it does is lead you to disaster because you're just plain wrong in the face of the evidence, you deserve to be discredited.

So, once again, it's time for Montgomery's District 4 to choose.

Do you want more of the same old tired stuff that didn't work even when there was a ton of money to fling around, and collapses miserably under the stress of our present difficult times? Or do you want Real Change?

Do you want Real Change?

Or do you want the same old stuff?

You're the voter. You decide.

But from now on, if you want to form an opinion of me, try to not rely too much on third-parties. Ask me. And see my Campaign Website for more detailed information on how I will bring Real Change that conforms to your interests, desires, and demands as constituents.

Sunday, April 5, 2009

Live Music in MoCo? Oldie, but Goodie

While passing out campaign leaflets yesterday, I ran into the brother of an old schoolmate of mine, and we got to talking about our school days and chums who might still be in the neighborhood. This person pointed out that the bar in the corner of the shopping center, "Dad's Neighborhood Pub" was a sort of a hangout for people who had attended Peary, my alma mater.

I graduated in the Class of 1976, and Robert E Peary HS was a school that totally exemplified the saying "if you remember the Seventies, you weren't there". It was "like, totally a party school, dude". The neighborhood was "like, totally a party" too. We had our own lingo which generally made no sense to a lot of folks, by design. For example: "so, dude, how was it last night?" referring to a party attended by one person but not another. "Lups, lurrs, it was kick, it was cash, I did crews, and I died". It's a testament to the resilience of the human psyche and physique that any of us still walk and talk. Some have even successfully raised offspring and have even seen their grandkids, and with no visible evidence of chromosome damage!

As time went on, Peary wound up closing down due to declining enrollment. It is now the Melvin J Berman Hebrew Academy, and the Berman people took charge of a campus that had been abandoned for the better part of a decade, and brought it up to a condition surpassing that of the original campus. But I digress.

In the long years since graduation, I mostly fell out of touch with Peary people, as I moved around the country several times. Much of the time I've lived in the region, I have lived downtown in the District. I've been to a few Class Reunion events, and help a little bit with the school website, but I'm not much of a party-with-the-homeboys kind of person. Among other things, I am single, and almost everyone else went the route of raising families. But sometimes it's good to drift back onto the scene.

The former classmate's brother, when asked "so how is Dad's", told me it was pretty cool, lots of "Huskies" (Peary's mascot was the Husky dog) hung out there, they even had live music.

This set off alarms. I have been complaining for years about the dearth of places in Montgomery where you can have a drink and see a band. I thanked the man and went to look the place over. I decided I would be back when I saw the band starting to unload, and one of the musicians informed me that their band played Seventies music.

I got in there about 9:00PM. The Sam Adams in a bottle set me back for six dollars including a tip. A bit later I sat down for the wings, which were pretty much wings, definitely not bad, cooked just right for me. They set me back around eight dollars or so.

The first band, which someone told me was called "Warlocks", did a very passable revue of about half of the songs ever done by Black Sabbath. The covers were very tight, the musicians more than competent, and the singer sounded almost exactly like Ozzy Osbourne, not an easy task.

The second band came on maybe around 10:30 or 11:00. They were called Platform Soul and they put on a very credible set.

I have a confession to make here. Back in the 1970s, while most people were sitting around their basements blasting Led Zeppelin or Johnny Winter, I was driving around with my friends listening to WKYS, the "soul" station. As much as I liked Jimmy Page playing guitar, I also liked the Ohio Players. So when Platform Soul launched into "Brick House", my feet began to move. This has been known to happen when I have been drinking. But suddenly, from memory erupted a lesson given to me back in the closing days of the springtime of 1976, when this really very hot Filipino exchange student taught me to do the new dance craze, "the Hustle". As it turned out, you could dance the Hustle to almost anything except for hardcore Rock Music, which nobody could really dance to, and as it turned out, I could Hustle pretty well, still. I drank one for you, wherever you are, Rose Filarama. I even did the "Soul Train" to "Hollywood Swingers".

The crowd in there was about what you might expect: a lot of folks in their 40s and 50s, a few younger folks as well including some of the type of youngsters who wear their baseball caps backwards and say "whassup, yo" a lot, and of course the staff. Behind the bar was one large individual and a fairly small bartender gal, who was insanely busy all night. Let's just say that the County got a lot of bar tax receipts. Also insanely busy, a variety of lovely waitresses who were probably counting everyone's drinks and weren't entirely sure why I had not yet fallen over. Here's the trick, ladies. Dance yer butt off and burn those calories and you can sweat out your beers almost as fast as you can drink them, as long as you have water as well.

Platform Soul is not limited to Funk and Soul, I should add. They covered Steely Dan, with some old fellow they claimed to have never seen before sitting in with a saxophone. They did a fine cover of Chicago's" "Twenty five or Six to Four", with the synth player covering the horns section credibly, and with the guitar player smokin' the leads.

While the band took a break, so did I. They have a rather good pool table there, and people who played better than me, I lost. Then the band came back on.

All in all, this is what I call a good time being had by all. The prices were about the same as I would have encountered downtown, but this was within walking distance and that's a good thing. I think the County needs more of this kind of establishment, not less. Let's put the rock back in Rockville and keep it that way! For too long, repressive County ordinances have made it almost impossible to run a restaurant where you can drink and hear a band or two, and in my humble opinion, that's got to change.

And that's another reason people should vote for me, so they can "party on, dude!"

Thursday, April 2, 2009

Leventhal Endorses Navarro

County Council member George Leventhal has posted a statement of Why I Am Supporting Nancy Navarro.

Most of it makes a fair amount of sense, as it once again affirms that the Montgomery County School Board is used by a great many hopefuls as their political springboard into Council campaigning.

Yet Mr Leventhal sets one thing out that makes it really clear what this election is all about:
We must do more to understand the needs and concerns of working and lower-income families, our younger population, and our Latino and African American population. Although they represent the future of Montgomery County, they are badly underrepresented in our county’s political dialogue.

So let me get this straight:

According to Mr Leventhal or whoever it is who writes his speeches, the future of Montgomery County is to be poor, black, and "latino"?

If that's the plan, where do the wealthy professionals fit in? How about wealthy Asian-Americans? Wealthy Indian-Americans? What about Arab-Americans of whatever level of education or income? What about the this-or-that-ethnicity? Or, maybe since there aren't all that many of them, they don't need a voice?

And what about people like me? What about all of those elderly folks living in Leisure World? Is Mr Leventhal (or his speechwriter) speaking in Code Words? Is he actually saying "screw you white people, screw you middle class people, why don't you just go extinct like the dinosaurs you are?" Is that what he's saying? Is that what's popular to toss around in certain circles here now? We're old and dying and why don't we just vote to speed the process? It's not enough that the middle class is being taxed to death and the rich are being squeezed to the point where Maryland ranks 45 out of 50 for "business climate"?

Okay, now since this has been made all about race, and all about a happy future where everyone who isn't black and "latino" is marginalized, let's just look at some of the other candidates as well.

Both Democrat Cary Lamari and Republican Andrew Padula have far better claim to being called representative of "latinos" because they are -- without question, and proud of it -- LATINS. They are of ITALIAN ancestry. It is impossible that anyone is more Latin than Italians, whether in Italy, elsewhere, or here in the USA. Somehow they, as Latins, don't represent "latinos" but a Venezuelan immigrant does? So, it's not about being Latin, being Latino, I'm going to guess. It's about whether or not she represents Americans and non-citizen residents of recent immigration from Spanish-speaking countries. So whoever is writing Mr Leventhal's speeches, whether it is Mr Leventhal or someone else, try to pick your words better. It's not about "latinos". It's about "hispanophones". If you're trying to say "she will be the champion of persistent linguistic division", try saying that. She'll still get as many votes.

Let's look at some of the other candidate. Let's look and see who's representative of whom. Me, evidently I represent the last gasp of the dinosaurs, known in the modern day as "traditional middle-class/working-class Americans", generally referred to as "WASPS" (white Anglo-Saxon Protestants). Well, it's true that I'm white, but I am not Protestant. I am not even a Christian. I am a Pagan Tree Hugger Scientific Agnostic. If I have any ancestors that were either Angles or Saxons it really comes as shocking news to me. My dad's people were Kansans who spoke German among themselves and lived in a town where most people spoke German among themselves, but they were proud to be Americans and spoke English as well as did any of their neighbors. This didn't keep them from suffering discrimination in WWI and WWII, though looking and speaking German turned out to be really useful for my Dad when he was in the Navy Beach Jumpers attached to the OSS, sneaking behind German lines and blowing up stuff. And when he came back from fighting for the USA he was almost completely deaf, so he didn't have to listen to people talk. We did. So we proudly spoke the truth: We are nothing but Americans, and all about America. We love our Country and we have fought for truth, justice, and the American Way since the War of Independence. So there's my constituency: Americans who love America and love the ideals of our Founding Fathers.

Some of those ideals for which we fought included "no taxation without representation", but according to Mr Leventhal we don't need any representation since we're not in the future of Montgomery County, and in the meantime we need to be taxed so that the poor black and "latino" people who are the future can get ahead, dontcha know.

Another ideal for which we fought was "equal justice for all". Somehow the history books in Country schools will tell you that the majority of the victorious Union army was "poor newly arrived immigrants" but they don't tell you much more. But college-level history texts, especially those written right near the time of the conflict, will tell you that the majority of those "immigrants" were fresh off the boat from the Germanies, and some of those history books will flatly declare that the slaves of the Confederacy were freed by the point of German-American bayonets. And for this, we don't get to be part of the future. Now that's gratitude for ya.

Another ideal for which we fought was the "separation of church and state" and "freedom of religion". Oh yes, Mr Leventhal. Not just for the Amish and Mennonites and Methodists and Lutherans, but for the Catholics and Jews as well. But, hey, we're dinosaurs, we aren't the future of Montgomery County. And when at last we're gone, who will be left to fight for your religious freedom? Nancy Navarro? Can you even say "religious freedom" in Spanish?

Other of our candidates are German-American as well: Mr Kramer and Mr Goldman. I do not know if their immigrant ancestors arrived here in the States before, or after, my own immigrant (and native citizen) ancestors won the War for Independence, freed the slaves, and kicked Nazi ass.

Why, Mr Leventhal! With a name like that, you're German-American too! Goodness gracious, since you're not poor, black, or "latino", I guess you're a dinosaur too! Not part of Montgomery's future, eh? When that deer came through your windshield at freeway speeds, did it maybe kick you in the head? Or perhaps you're still taking pain medications for it and it's addled your thinking.

My own thinking is pretty addled by a Montgomery Council member declaring that the future of Montgomery is Poor, Black, and Latino. Wow, that's a really cheerful prognosis, doctor!

And with the prognosis that the future of Montgomery is Poor, Black, and Latino, let's try to take some medicine that will embrace that? Why not try one of those new experimental cures, like voting for anyone but Navarro.

It really doesn't matter, I suppose. Because in 2010 everyone's up for election once again... including the man who signed his name to a statement that boldly states that the future of Montgomery doesn't include middle-class whites, rich blacks, or Asian-Americans.

To conclude,

Oy gevalt.